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Daily Archives: May 5, 2017

Pyongyang acusó este viernes a la agencia de inteligencia estadounidense CIA de conspirar con Corea del Sur para asesinar al líder del país, Kim Jong-un, con sustancias químicas, en un momento de crecientes tensiones en la región, reporta AFP.

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El opositor Daniel Llorente, que el pasado Primero de Mayo protagonizó una protesta enarbolando la bandera norteamericana en la Plaza de la Revolución, se encuentra detenido en la estación policial … Click to Continue » Continue reading

14ymedio

El opositor Daniel Llorente, que el pasado Primero de Mayo protagonizó una protesta enarbolando la bandera norteamericana en la Plaza de la Revolución, se encuentra detenido en la estación policial de 100 y Aldabó de la capital y acusado por la policía de “desorden público y resistencia”, según confirmó a 14ymedio su hijo, Eliezer Llorente.

“Pude hablar unos 10 minutos con mi padre. No lo han golpeado. Mañana tendré que llevarle vituallas: jabón, ropa y chancletas. Dicen que no van a soltarlo hasta el juicio”, dijo el joven de 17 años.

Mientras tanto las imágenes de Daniel Llorente en la Plaza de Revolución corriendo con la bandera de Estados Unidos durante el desfile por el Primero de Mayo son el último material viral en las redes alternativas cubanas.

A través de los teléfonos móviles y las memorias USB, el video se está difundiendo ampliamente en la Isla, a pesar del silencio informativo de los medios oficiales. Aplicaciones como Zapya y las facilidades que brinda la transmisión de datos por Bluetooth han contribuido a que la acción del manifestante haya llegado a miles de personas.[[QUOTE:“Pude hablar unos 10 minutos con mi padre. No lo han golpeado. Mañana tendré que llevarle vituallas: jabón, ropa y chancletas. Dicen que no van a soltarlo hasta el juicio”, dijo el joven de 17 años]]Un día después del incidente en la Plaza, el diario Granma describió a Llorente como “un cubano desvinculado laboralmente”, aunque no mencionó su nombre. La nota publicada en el órgano oficial del Partido Comunista agregó que en 2002 el activista “fue sancionado a cinco años de prisión por un delito de robo con fuerza, y en este momento se encuentra pendiente de juicio por un delito de receptación agravada”.

La filmación, en la que se ve al hombre que sale de la multitud y avanza unos metros con la insignia estadounidense, circula especialmente entre jóvenes y adolescentes.14ymedio pudo comprobar la presencia del video en los celulares de jóvenes de varias escuelas secundarias y preuniversitarias de La Habana.

Las primeras fotos de lo sucedido las publicó el corresponsal de la cadena CNN en La Habana, Patrick Oppmann, en su cuenta de Twitter. Posteriormente se transmitieron imágenes en video en varios canales del sur de Florida, que se captan en la Isla a través de antenas parabólicas muy perseguidas por la policía.

Llorente, de 53 años, realizó en mayo del 2016 una protesta similar cuando el Crucero Adonia llegaba a La Habana, momento en el que también fue arrestado y liberado al cabo de 24 horas.

El Gobierno de los Estados Unidos se pronunció sobre el incidente ocurrido en la Plaza al exigirle el pasado martes que las autoridades cubanas deben respetar los derechos humanos de sus ciudadanos.


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Aseguró a la prensa el hijo del manifestante Continue reading
Havana Main Street (HMS) Director Tony Lombardo came before the Havana Town … economically revitalize the historic downtown Havana district while preserving the historic … the Havana Merchants Association (HMA) for approval to hold its annual HavanaContinue reading
… in Friday’s Havana Classic Golf Tournament at the Havana Golf and … tournament is sponsored by the Havana club and organized by Dayton … Continue reading

La Asamblea Nacional venezolana amaneció este viernes con un inmenso cartel que dice 'Maduro dictador', según informó en su cuenta de Twitter el diputado Juan Andrés Mejía.

"Este es el mensaje que le dejamos a Maduro en pleno centro de Caracas #MaduroDictador", tuiteó el político.

"Seguimos en las calles", agregó.

Otros políticos se han sumado al rechazo a Maduro.

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Siempre que en la isla respeten su libertad Continue reading
… among friends and shepherds, a Cuban archbishop said. "When people … the apostles that are in Cuba -- and Peter," Archbishop … of Santiago, president of the Cuban bishops' conference, told Catholic … nearly 6 million Catholics in Cuba. Although the problems "are … Continue reading


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El biotipo Eliancito, con maricona al hombro y pistola oculta, recorre las calles de Centro Habana, recién llegado de una misión en Venezuela, donde estuvo destacado durante la semana más caliente de las protestas: su oficio es partir cabezas, disparar sin ser visto. Su maricona contiene una lata de aerosol de pimienta, una cabilla, un peinecito y una fuca. Aprendió a matar, confundido entre los manifestantes.

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Los abogados en España del opositor venezolano Leopoldo López anunciaron este viernes en Madrid que recurrirán a la Justicia española para proteger los derechos del líder actualmente encarcelado en su país, reporta AFP.

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… /places are Israel and Cuba. Biggest worry this year is … Continue reading

Un joven venezolano murió este viernes tras resultar gravemente herido en unos disturbios registrados la víspera en la ciudad norteña de Valencia, informaron la Alcaldía local y fuentes médicas, lo que eleva a 36 la cifra de fallecidos en las protestas opositoras iniciadas el 1 de abril.

Hecder Lugo Pérez, de 22 años, falleció a causa de una herida de proyectil en la cabeza, según fuentes de la clínica Valles de San Diego, donde estaba internado desde el jueves.

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Nuevo episodio de violencia policial. Imágenes de la impunidad de las fuerzas represivas castristas Continue reading
No hay yogur, mantequilla, queso crema ni helados en las shopping habaneras Continue reading
"Las causas de las violaciones de los derechos humanos en Cuba están en el interior de la Isla" Continue reading
‘Alberto Valle Pérez está en la celda de castigo’, dice el régimen a la madre del activista ‘desaparecido’ DDC | La Habana | 5 de Mayo de 2017 – 20:24 CEST. Yolanda Pérez Hernández, madre del activista preso Alberto Valle Pérez, intentó verlo este jueves en la prisión del Combinado del Este, pero las autoridades […] Continue reading

14ymedio

Una persona fallecida y 38 heridos fue el saldo de un accidente masivo que sufrió una camioneta para el transporte de pasajeros entre el municipio San Germán y la ciudad de Holguín, según reportó la prensa local.

La mujer fallecida no ha podido ser identificada porque no portaba ningún documento de identidad, aunque algunos de sus acompañantes se refirieron a ella como "Vivian, la esposa de Luis", con cuyo nombre ha sido inscrita en la morgue "hasta que surjan nuevos datos", confirmó a 14ymedio una empleada del buró de información del Hospital Clínico Quirúrgico Lucía Íñiguez.

A ese mismo centro hospitalario fueron trasladados 27 heridos, de los cuales 18 de ellos ya han sido dados de alta.[[QUOTE:Según la policía, "el hecho ocurrió cuando el capó se abrió y el chofer perdió el control del vehículo"]]Otros nueve lesionados son atendidos en el Hospital Vladímir Lenin y todos se mantienen en observación aunque fuera de peligro.

Dos niñas, de dos y cuatro años, están siendo atendidas en el Pediátrico Octavio de la Concepción y la Pedraja.

La policía investiga las causas del siniestro, pero según explicaciones de los accidentados " el hecho ocurrió cuando el capó se abrió y el chofer perdió el control del vehículo".

En 2016, se produjo un accidente de tránsito cada 48 minutos en las calles o carreteras de Cuba y una persona murió cada 11 horas. La tasa de muertes "fue de 6,87 por cada 100.000 habitantes ", según estadísticas oficiales.

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El hijo de Daniel Llorente Miranda —detenido por romper el cerco de seguridad durante el desfile del Primero de Mayo y correr frente a la tribuna de la Plaza de la Revolución José Martí con una bandera estadounidense—, dijo a Radio Martí que su padre se encontraba en la unidad policial de 100 y Aldabó.

Eliécer Llorente Pérez, de 17 años, detalló que fue un funcionario del Consejo de Estado quien le dio esta información.

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If Venezuela Goes to Hell, Will Things Look Bad for Cuba? / Iván García

Ivan Garcia, 28 April 2017 — Soot covers the unpainted facades of
buildings on Tenth of October Boulevard. Old American cars from the
1950s, rebuilt with modern diesel engines and now privately operated as
taxis, transit across asphalt, leaving behind a trail of black smoke and
the unpleasant odor of gasoline.

The noonday sun glimmers in the opaque windows of old clothing stores,
which have been converted into low-quality jewelry and handicraft shops.

Tenth of October is one of Havana's main arteries. Formerly known as
Jesus of the Mountain, the boulevard immortalized by the poet Eliseo
Diego is now a walkway of pedestrians carrying plastic bags past
makeshift booths set up in the covered entryways of people's houses.
Vendors sell old books, photos of Fidel and Kim Il Sung, and knickknacks
that are not longer fashionable.

Seated at a stool outside his butcher shop, Rey Angel reads a headline
in the newspaper Granma. He has not worked in days. "There have been no
deliveries of chicken or ground soy," he says. He kills time reading
boring articles by the nation's press and watching women walk by.

Right now, news from Venezuela is a high priority for the average Cuban.
"It's like seeing yourself in the mirror. You don't like to read stories
about shortages and misfortunes similar to your own, although ours don't
come with street protests or repression and killings by the police,"
says the butcher.

"But we have to follow the news from Venezuela," he adds. "If it all
goes to hell there, things won't look good for us. There will be another
'Special Period." The government is trying not to alarm people but
according to the official press, the country produces only 50% of the
crude it needs. The question then is: Where the hell are we going to get
the money for the other 50% Venezuela gives us."

The longstanding economic, social and political crisis in Venezuela also
impacts Cuba, a republic that has been unable to control its own
destiny. Hungry for power, Fidel Castro hijacked the country, making
political commitments in exchange for a blank check from the Kremlin and
later oil and credit guarantees from Hugo Chavez.

Like a baby, Cuba is still crawling. It won't stand up and walk on its
own two feet. "Whom should we blame for these disastrous policies?" asks
a university professor before answering his own question.

"If we are honest, the answer is Fidel Castro," he says. "Cuba a total
disaster, except supposedly in the realm of sovereignty and
independence. But these days we are more dependent than ever. In order
to survive, we must depend on tourism, on the export of doctors who work
under slave-like conditions and on remittances sent home by Cubans from
overseas."

Although Cuba's government-run press and Telesur — a media company
founded with petrodollars from Hugo Chavez — is trying to cover up the
causes of the situation in Venezuela, to ignore other points of view and
to manipulate the narrative of the Venezuelan opposition, people on the
island can now compare their reporting with other sources of information.

"Whether it's through the internet, an illegal antenna or family members
returning from medical missions in Venezuela, people know that not
everything reported in the national media is true. It's not just the
middle class that supports the opposition, as the state press would have
us believe. If that were the case, the Venezuelan bourgeoisie would
number in the millions. Maduro's days are numbered. When another
political party occupies the presidential palace, when the oil agreement
and the exchange of doctors are over, the Cuban economy will experience
a crisis , a period of recession the likes of which it has not seen for
twenty-eight years. And even worse, all the turmoil in Venezuela
coincides with Raul Castro's stepping down from power" notes an academic.

Among the late Hugo Chavez and Fidel Castro's longterm goals was the
eventual unification of their two countries," says a former diplomat.
"ALBA* was just a first step. They hoped to later create a common
currency: the sucre. In the halls of power it was jokingly referred to
as 'Cubazuela'. In their minds Castro and Chavez thought they would rule
forever. They didn't foresee themselves dying or anticipate the current
catastrophe. In spite of all Maduro's authoritarianism, there are still
democratic institutions which could reverse the situation. But in Cuba?
When Venezuela crashes, we'll be up the creek without a paddle. We can
perhaps count on rhetorical support from Bolivia and Ecuador but no one
is going to write us a blank check or extend us credit. We will then
will have to figure out where we are going and how to get there. If some
future politicians manage to figure out a path forward, we'll have to
erect a monument to them."

Hyperinflation, polarization and the socio-political crisis in Venezuela
are all impacting the Cuban economy. In the summer of 2016 Raul Castro
announced fuel cuts for the public sector, causing numerous government
programs which do not generate hard currency to grind to a halt.

As people die and mass protest marches take place in Venezuela,
officials and presidential advisers at the Palace of the Revolution in
Havana are devising contingency plans to deal with the eventual collapse
of the Chavez movement. It could take months, maybe a year or two, but
it will happen.

*Translator's note: Acronym for Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of
Our America, an organization founded by Cuba and Venezuela and currently
made up of eleven socialist and social democratic member states.

Source: If Venezuela Goes to Hell, Will Things Look Bad for Cuba? / Iván
García – Translating Cuba -
http://translatingcuba.com/if-venezuela-goes-to-hell-will-things-look-bad-for-cuba-ivn-garca/ Continue reading
HAVANA, Cuba, May 5 (acn) Jose Manuel Bisbe, president of Viajes Cuba, announced … "will allow connecting any Cuban destination with the whole world … main ports in Havana, Cienfuegos and Santiago de Cuba. With regard to … , institutions and potential tourists include Cuba in their agendas as an … Continue reading
El ‘paketito’, un rival clandestino para el ‘paquete’ LUZ ESCOBAR, La Habana | Mayo 05, 2017 Sin censura, divertido y con muchos temas variados, así definen los productores del paketito a este nuevo compendio de material audiovisual que se propone rellenar los huecos que deja el popular paquete semanal. A diferencia de su antecesor, que […] Continue reading
Miguel Díaz-Canel podría ser el sucesor de Raúl Castro en elecciones de Cuba 05 de mayo de 2017 – 07:05 El pasado miércoles, Mariela Castro, hija del dictador cubano, Raúl Castro, ante una pregunta sobre sus preferencias para la presidencia, aseguró que todavía puede haber sorpresas en el relevo político en la isla LA HABANA.- […] Continue reading
Aumentan muertos envenados y ahogados en Cuba; menos casos de suicidios Posted on 5 Mayo, 2017 by Café Fuerte La cifra de personas que perdieron la vida por envenenamiento aumentó a 92 en el 2016, 10 más que en el año precedente, según cifras oficiales. El Anuario Estadístico de Salud 2016, recién publicado, cataloga estos […] Continue reading
Tanto nadar para morir… en Hialeah: Culpable, el cubano más buscado de EE.UU. Rolando Cartaya Buscado por tres agencias federales, considerado un peligroso delincuente internacional, Aníbal Mustelier fue hallado culpable el jueves por robar en joyerías de Hialeah Aníbal Mustelier tuvo en el mundo del crimen su fama y esplendor, y su decadencia y caída. […] Continue reading
Hombre que protestó con bandera de EEUU el 1ro de mayo, detenido en 100 y Aldabó, asegura su hijo Jorge P. Martínez Daniel Llorente Miranda fue detenido el 1 de mayo por la Seguridad del Estado en La Habana, tras manifestarse con una bandera estadounidense frente al desfile del 1 de mayo. Eliécer Llorente Pérez, […] Continue reading
Dos periodistas independientes de Cienfuegos, detenidos y amenazados con ir a prisión Los reporteros dijeron a Radio Martí que no pudieron llegar al sitio donde esperaban realizar un reportaje. Dijeron que fueron amenzados con ir a prisión por ser “ilegal” lo que hacen. Dos reporteros de la agencia independiente cienfueguera Cuba Hoy Noticias dijeron a […] Continue reading
Arrestado matrimonio que participaba en boicot a elecciones 2018 en Cuba Luis Felipe Rojas Jany Corrales del Río (33 años de edad) y Alexeis Moras (36), miembros del Frente Nacional de Resistencia Cívica “Orlando Zapata Tamayo” en Placetas, provincia de Villa Clara. La Policía Nacional Revolucionaria (PNR) hizo el juves 4 de mayo un registro […] Continue reading
Opositor Félix Navarro denuncia recrudecimiento de la represión en Matanzas, Cienfuegos y Pinar del Río mayo 05, 2017 El opositor Félix Navarro explicó a Radio Martí que ha crecido el asedio contra su partido, al que comparó con la represión que ha denunciado en el pasado la Unión Patriótica de Cuba y otras organizaciones disidentes […] Continue reading

Yolanda Pérez Hernández, madre del activista preso Alberto Valle Pérez, intentó verlo este jueves en la prisión del Combinado del Este, pero las autoridades le dijeron que "estaba en la celda de castigo", según denunció Zaqueo Báez a DIARIO DE CUBA.

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En Cuba las cosas deben cambiar, afirma Arzobispo tras reunión con el Papa mayo 05, 2017 “Nos damos cuenta de que el pueblo puede vivir en mejores condiciones espirituales y materiales”, declaró a Radio Vaticana, el Mons. Dionisio García Ibáñez, Arzobispo de Santiago de Cuba. Los Obispos de Cuba, en visita ad limina en Roma, […] Continue reading
Amenazan a periodistas de La Hora de Cuba con nuevas acusaciones mayo 04, 2017 Idolidia Darias Las autoridades amenazaron con nuevos cargos, y hasta con prisión, a los reporteros Sol García Basulto y Henry Constantín Ferreiro, por seguir haciendo periodismo sin permiso del régimen. Henry Constantín, vicepresidente regional de la Sociedad Interamericana de Prensa, y […] Continue reading
“El Gran Blondin”: la arriesgada acrobacia de hacer periodismo independiente en Cuba mayo 04, 2017 Lizandra Díaz Blanco Con un título que recuerda al acróbata que cruzó una cuerda floja encima de las Cataratas del Niágara, el activista y bloguero cubano Agustín López presenta junto a su hermana un nuevo proyecto de periodismo independiente, “El […] Continue reading

La locomotora frena bruscamente, despertando con sobresalto a los somnolientos pasajeros en los vagones. Todos se preguntan qué ocurre, hasta que alguien alerta sobre la persecución que se ha desatado fuera. "Han lanzado una piedra al tren".

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Activistas de Cubalex, el principal grupo legal opositor de Cuba, se marchan al exilio MARIO J. PENTÓN/14YMEDIO mpenton@elnuevoherald.com El equipo del Centro de Información Legal Cubalex y su directora, la abogada Laritza Diversent, viajarán a Estados Unidos como refugiados políticos tras el recrudecimiento de la represión contra el trabajo de la organización sin fines de […] Continue reading
Rusia suministrará petróleo y diésel a Cuba 5 MAY 2017 12h32 Rosneft, la mayor petrolera de Rusia, ha anunciado que suministrará a Cuba unas 250.000 toneladas de petróleo y combustible diésel, en virtud de un contrato con la empresa cubana Cubametales. La nota difundida por Rosneft no precisa los términos del contrato, que fue suscrito […] Continue reading
Amenazan a periodistas independientes con más cargos en su contra Luego de haber sido citados por la policía Viernes, mayo 5, 2017 | María Matienzo Puerto LA HABANA, Cuba.- La amenaza de dejarlos encarcelados que fuera hecha a los periodistas de La Hora de Cuba, Henry Constantín Ferreiro y Sol García Basulto, no fue concretada; […] Continue reading
… , helping to lead a powerful Cuban-American bloc. Another brother, Jose, is … it’s important to have Cuban-Americans in Washington representing the views … number of Cuban-Americans support President Barack Obama’s rapprochement with Cuba. “The … ask a 19-year-old Cuban-American what’s on your mind, Cuba doesn’t … Continue reading
‘¡Autoexclúyete!’: la homofobia de los bancos de sangre Según autoridades, ciertas orientaciones sexuales potencian ‘un riesgo de transmisión’ de enfermedades Viernes, mayo 5, 2017 | Eliseo Matos LA HABANA.- A pesar de las políticas que en Cuba se encaminan en contra de la discriminación sexual, algunas personas e instituciones se muestran reacias a reconocer los […] Continue reading
… , helping to lead a powerful Cuban-American bloc. Another brother, Jose, is … it’s important to have Cuban-Americans in Washington representing the views … number of Cuban-Americans support President Barack Obama’s rapprochement with Cuba. “The … ask a 19-year-old Cuban-American what’s on your mind, Cuba doesn’t … Continue reading
Cuba 2018: What To Expect As Castro Rule Comes To An End
By Simon Whistler

Should all happen as expected, February 24th 2018 will be a momentous
day in the lives of many Cubans. On that day, 10 years after officially
taking over from his brother Fidel, President Raúl Castro has promised
to step down from power, marking the first time that many on the island
will have ever known a head of state without his famous last name. Fidel
himself had been president between 1976 and 2008, and prior to that had
been the main power behind the throne since the 1959 Cuban revolution.
Nearly 60 years of Castro-led government, then, will finally come to an end.

For many Cubans, regardless of their political loyalties, the Castro
name has come to represent their country, for good or for bad. Raúl
stepping down from office, following on from the death of Fidel in
November 2016, is therefore a hugely symbolic moment by any account, and
one that will generate a great deal of uncertainty.

This is not lost on the Cuban authorities. The all-encompassing Cuban
state has been preparing for the moment since 2013, when Raúl first
announced his intention to step down. There is little doubt that the
handover of power will be carefully choreographed in public, the ruling
Cuban Communist Party (PCC) seeking to demonstrate that running the
country will be business as usual.

This will do little to stop the chatter, however, especially around the
big question that a Castro-less Cuba automatically entails: what are the
prospects for political and economic reform on the island? The easy
answer is that in the immediate term, probably very little will change.
The real answer to this question is more complex. Raúl's eventual
successor, the state of the economy, social pressures, and—perhaps in
time—relations with the US, will all play significant roles in defining
it. Inevitably, little will be resolved until Raúl has actually left the
presidency.

Next on the block

Perceived wisdom has the non-military technocrat Miguel Díaz Canal as
Raúl's most likely successor. In his 50s, Díaz Canal would mark a clear
break from the Castro-led generation of revolutionary figures who have
dominated Cuban politics over the last six decades. He has also been
central to Cuba's baby steps towards a more-market based economy.

However, the fact that his name comes up so readily in discussion over
successors does leave some pause for thought. The Cuban regime has
historically played its cards close to its chest, with few really privy
to the thoughts of the key decision-makers at its apex. It would be
little surprise if Díaz Canal's presumed coronation next year turns out
to be a smokescreen for a different candidate altogether.

Even if Díaz Canal is the man to step forward, what power – or indeed
desire - will he genuinely have to call his own shots and take Cuba down
a more liberal path? The military old guard, led by the likes of Raúl
and José Ramón Machado Ventura, current second secretary in the PCC,
will almost certainly retain residual authority behind the scenes.
Despite Raúl's technocratic bent, many others in the old guard have been
less enthusiastic about recent steps to liberalize elements of the
economy. Without a Castro in charge, and the perception of a more
pliable president in Díaz Canal in his place, opposition to further
change could become stronger.

That points to the truth that there are divisions within the PCC over
the country's future direction. But these divisions are not big enough
that they obscure the party's common goal – to retain power and to
retain control of its destiny. Technocrat and non-military he may be,
but Díaz Canal is almost certainly first and foremost a loyal cadre of
the PCC. It would be foolish to believe that he is automatically an
agent for political change just because he is not a Castro or is part of
a younger generation of leaders.

It's the economy, stupid

In fact, the performance of the economy and the Cuban state's
(in)ability to maintain its basic social contract with the population
are the most likely portents of future structural changes. In almost any
scenario, there is little real prospect of the regime rolling back the
tentative economic reforms of recent years; all but the most blind
ideologues have come to realize that the state simply lacks the
resources to manage all facets of the economy. Although still
controlled, pockets of private enterprise and foreign investment will
grow in time.

But there is little doubt that the economy is facing significant
pressure as its main sponsor, Venezuela, implodes. The Cuban economy
contracted by 0.9% in 2016 as Venezuela cut oil exports to the island
and Cuba's export of human capital in the other direction—mainly in the
form of doctors and nurses—was severely curtailed. Efforts to attract
increased foreign direct investment have been tortuously slow in their
execution. Should these patterns continue (and there is little sign of
Venezuela, in particular, picking up soon), the strain of government
finances will begin to become critical.

That matters not so much in terms of official growth rates, but more in
terms of the ability of the state to ensure that it can provide the
basic services on which it has always laid its moral and political
authority. That's why a series of power cuts in 2016, on the back of
lower oil imports from Venezuela, have caused such unease; they were a
deeply uncomfortable reminder of the so-called 'special period' of the
early 1990s, when the collapse of the Soviet Union pulled the plug on
Cuba's economic lifeline.

It also matters in the context of increasingly visible inequality and
regional divides. Different classes are emerging: particularly among
those who have access to foreign exchange, whether through their jobs or
through family overseas, and those who do not. The latter continue to
survive within the limited confines of the local economy. These
differences are intensified between rural and urban areas – the bustling
capital of Havana is increasingly a focal point of the 'haves', the
countryside that of the 'have-nots'.

The challenge ahead

This ultimately is the key challenge that the Cuban government faces
ahead of the presidential transition and beyond. Hand over the economy
in a resilient condition and on Cuba's own terms, and Castro's successor
has greater scope for ignoring the still small demands on the island for
political change. A fractured economy and a failing social contract, on
the other hand, spell difficulties ahead.

This would not necessarily play out in the form of widespread unrest or
immediate calls for political freedoms— there remains little overt
support to sustain such moves. But, perhaps more dangerously to the PCC,
it would result in a deeper sense of public disillusionment with a state
that has failed to deliver its promises. Without a Castro safety net to
fall back on, the foundations of a grassroots reform movement can emerge.

A business boom?

Businesses hoping for a Caribbean China or Vietnam to appear a year from
now will be disappointed. The conditions will not be ripe for a mass
opening of the Cuban market, yet. Díaz Canal, or whoever Castro's
successor proves to be, will almost certainly continue along the current
Cuban path to reform, with greater or lesser urgency dictated by the
economic situation. But the regime remains fearful of opening too fast,
too soon, for the impact they perceive it would have on social unity,
and ultimately on the PCC's ability to remain in control.

This will slowly bring more opportunities for the discerning investor,
but realities of doing business will remain complex. The Cuban regime
will remain slow in its decision-making and continue to bind investors
in reams of red tape. Meanwhile, the US embargo—unlikely to be lifted
this year or the next—will continue creating legal obstacles for US and
foreign companies alike. Although 2018 brings hope for a brighter future
in the longer term, in the meantime, the Castros' shadow will linger
over Cuba. Those thirsty for a Cuba libre, economically and politically,
will need to wait a while longer to be refreshed.

Simon Whistler leads the political risk analysis and consulting practice
for Latin America at Control Risks, the leading international risk
consultancy.

Source: Cuba 2018: What To Expect As Castro Rule Comes To An End -
https://www.forbes.com/sites/riskmap/2017/05/04/cuba-2018-what-to-expect-as-castro-rule-comes-to-an-end/#76bba5e967b8 Continue reading
Russia signs agreement to supply oil to Cuba
Friday, May 05, 2017

HAVANA, Cuba (CMC) – Russia's state oil company Rosneft, has signed an
agreement with Cuba's state-run Cubametals to supply 250,000 tonnes of
olive and diesel fuel.The agreement, signed on Wednesday, means that for
the first time this century, Russia will be supplying the
Spanish-speaking Caribbean island with large quantities of oil as
supplies from Venezuela have dwindled.

According to Reuters, a Russian tanker with 249,000 barrels of refined
products is due to arrive in Cuba on May 10.

Reuters quotes Jorge Pinon, an oil expert at the University of Texas as
saying that Cuba consumes 22,000 barrel per day of diesel and 140,000
barrels per day of oil products.

"It is very clear that Cuba is diversifying its long-term supply
contracts in the event that its October 2000 subsidised oil agreement
with Venezuela is terminated," Pinon said.

In recent years, Cuba has relied on cash-strapped Venezuela for about 70
per cent of its fuel needs.

However Venezuela's subsidised shipments have fallen by as much as 40
per cent since 2014.

Source: Russia signs agreement to supply oil to Cuba -
http://www.jamaicaobserver.com/latestnews/Russia_signs_agreement_to_supply_oil_to_Cuba?profile=1228 Continue reading
Liberado el activista Francisco Luis Manzanet Ortiz con un ‘acta de advertencia’ DDC | Guantánamo | 5 de Mayo de 2017 – 14:44 CEST. El activista de derechos humanos Francisco Luis Manzanet Ortiz, líder del Proyecto Juan Pablo II, y miembro de la Alianza Democrática Oriental (ADO), fue liberado el jueves en la noche en […] Continue reading

Fuerzas del régimen detuvieron en la mañana de este viernes a casi una veintena de activistas del Movimiento Dignidad que se dirigían a la sede de la organización en Palmarito de Cauto, según denunció Belkis Cantillo, líder del movimiento, a DIARIO DE CUBA.

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